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Strategika: What will Afghanistan look like following US withdrawal in 2014?

Hoover Institution
Strategika: What will Afghanistan look like following the final U.S. withdrawal in 2014?
The current issue of Strategika ponders the future of Afghanistan, asking the question: What will Afghanistan look like following the final U.S. withdrawal in 2014?

In his background essay, Max Boot analyzes how British, and subsequently, Soviet involvement in Afghanistan, suggest that the country's current stability can be maintained with continued assistance from the U.S. In the featured commentary essays, Col. Joseph Felter discusses the uncertainties of Afghanistan's internal political situation and Kimberly Kagan warns that the departure of the U.S. forces from Afghanistan will have disastrous consequences for both countries.

Readers are also encouraged to return to our last issue on U.S.-China relations where they will find podcast interviews with our contributors available in the next few days.



Afghanistan—Graveyard of Empires?
by Max Boot


How Good is Afghan Good Enough? Anticipating Security Conditions in...
by Colonel Joseph Felter


Strategika is a free online journal that analyzes ongoing issues of national security in light of conflicts of the past. Strategika offers two opinion editorials on a current crisis or controversy with a background historical essay. The journal also includes a brief section with suggestions for further study and discussion questions for educators on particular issues that arise from the posted essays along with additional commentary from the members.


As the very name of the Hoover Institution attests, military history lies at the core of our dedication to the study of “War, Revolution, and Peace.” It is with this tradition in mind that the “Working Group on the Role of Military History in Contemporary Conflict” has set its agenda—reaffirming the Hoover Institution’s dedication to historical research in light of contemporary challenges, and in particular, reinvigorating the national study of military history as an asset to foster and enhance our national security.  By bringing together a diverse group of distinguished military historians, security analysts, and military veterans and practitioners, the working group seeks to examine the conflicts of the past as critical lessons for the present. The working group is chaired by Victor Davis Hanson with counsel from Bruce S. Thornton and David L. Berkey.

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A brilliant article and talk by Bing West, lifetime US Marine, on Afghanistan:


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Muslim Terrorism Count

Thousands of Deadly Islamic Terror Attacks Since 9/11

Mission Overview

Most Western societies are based on Secular Democracy, which itself is based on the concept that the open marketplace of ideas leads to the optimum government. Whilst that model has been very successful, it has defects. The 4 Freedoms address 4 of the principal vulnerabilities, and gives corrections to them. 

At the moment, one of the main actors exploiting these defects, is Islam, so this site pays particular attention to that threat.

Islam, operating at the micro and macro levels, is unstoppable by individuals, hence: "It takes a nation to protect the nation". There is not enough time to fight all its attacks, nor to read them nor even to record them. So the members of 4F try to curate a representative subset of these events.

We need to capture this information before it is removed.  The site already contains sufficient information to cover most issues, but our members add further updates when possible.

We hope that free nations will wake up to stop the threat, and force the separation of (Islamic) Church and State. This will also allow moderate Muslims to escape from their totalitarian political system.

The 4 Freedoms

These 4 freedoms are designed to close 4 vulnerabilities in Secular Democracy, by making them SP or Self-Protecting (see Hobbes's first law of nature). But Democracy also requires - in addition to the standard divisions of Executive, Legislature & Judiciary - a fourth body, Protector of the Open Society (POS), to monitor all its vulnerabilities (see also Popper). 
1. SP Freedom of Speech
Any speech is allowed - except that advocating the end of these freedoms
2. SP Freedom of Election
Any party is allowed - except one advocating the end of these freedoms
3. SP Freedom from Voter Importation
Immigration is allowed - except where that changes the political demography (this is electoral fraud)
4. SP Freedom from Debt
The Central Bank is allowed to create debt - except where that debt burden can pass across a generation (25 years).

An additional Freedom from Religion is deducible if the law is applied equally to everyone:

  • Religious and cultural activities are exempt from legal oversight except where they intrude into the public sphere (Res Publica)"

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