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It takes a nation to protect the nation

Number of British Muslims will double to 5.5m in 20 years

  • Muslims to make up quarter of world's projected population of 8.3billion
  • 72 countries already have one million or more Muslims
  • Britain to have more Muslims than Kuwait by 2030

The Muslim population in the UK will almost double to 5.5million within 20 years, it has been claimed.

Immigration and high birth rates will mean nearly one in ten Britons will be Muslim by 2030, according to a worldwide study about the spread of Islam.

And the forecasts mean Britain will have more Muslims than Kuwait.

On the rise: Nearly one in ten people in Britain will be Muslim by 2030 because of immigration and high birth rates. The report comes amid continuing debate over the views of Muslims in Britain and attitudes towards them

Rising: Nearly one in ten people in Britain will be Muslim by 2030 because of immigration and high birth rates. The report comes amid continuing debate over the views of Muslims in Britain and attitudes towards them

From 1990 to 2010 the number of followers of the Islamic faith around the world increased at an average rate of 2.2 per cent annually. Last year there were 1.57billion around the world. 

The British increase in the Muslim population from the current 2.8million will be mainly driven by immigration, according to figures prepared by a Washington think tank.

Projections by the respected Pew Research Centre said the 40 years between 1990 and 2030 will see a fivefold rise in Britain.

In 1990 there were 1.1million Muslims in Britain, representing two per cent of the population.

By last year that figure had risen to 2.8million, or four per cent. By 2030 the number will hit 5.5million - eight per cent of an estimated 68million population, Pew researchers said.

Enlarge  

The global spread of Islam

In the U.S., the number of Muslims will also double by 2030 - rising to 6.2million from 2.6million today. But the percentage of Muslims will remain lower than the UK because the total population is five times bigger there, with around 300million at present.

Last May, official figures showed that there could be 70million people in Britain by 2029 - largely fuelled by the migrant boom.

By comparison, in the same year the Arab state of Kuwait is expected to have a Muslim population of 3.6million, it forecast.

The report said one in four migrants to the UK are Muslims.

In Canada, the number of Muslims is set to nearly treble to 2.7million in 2030 from 940,000 at present, the study found.

Graph produced by the report's authors

‘The greatest increases in the Muslim share of the population - driven primarily by continued migration - are likely to occur in Western and Northern Europe, where Muslims will be approaching double-digit percentages of the population in several countries,’ it said.

Britain has long had high immigration levels from some Muslim countries, notably Pakistan and Bangladesh, and in recent years has seen high numbers of migrants from Islamic parts of Africa.

The Pew report also cited high birth rates. It said that ‘generally, Muslim populations tend to have higher fertility rates than non-Muslim populations’.

It added: 'A larger share of the Muslim population is in, or soon will enter, the prime reproductive years between the ages of 15 and 29.

'Also, improved health and economic conditions in Muslim-majority countries have led to greater-than-average declines in infant and child mortality rates, and life expectancy is rising even faster in Muslim-majority countries than in other less-developed countries.'

MUSLIM POPULATION IN THE U.S.

The number of Muslims in the U.S. is expected to double in the next 20 years to 6.2million from 2.6million today.

There will be as many Muslims in America as there are Jews or Episcopalians today, if the predictions are correct.

Currently 0.8 per cent of the U.S. population is American, but by 2030 that is expected to rise to 1.7 per cent.

The reports authors warned that political change in the U.S. could limit immigration.

The study used past population changes, migration figures and fertility rates to estimate changing Islamic populations.

By 2030 Muslims will make up 26 per cent of the world’s projected population of 8.3billion, up from 23 per cent of the estimated 2010 world population of 6.9billion, it said.

Those figures represent an increase from 1.6billion in 2010 to 2.2billion in 2030, a rise of 35 per cent.

The analysis comes amid continuing debate over the views of Muslims in Britain and attitudes towards them.

The study was based on past demographic trends and estimations on what will happen to them over the next 20 years.

Last week Tory Party chairman Baroness Warsi said prejudice against Muslims is seen as normal and called for people to stop categorising them. 

Christians 'are less devout'

Tags: -, Cover-ups, Muslim, Population, Projections, UK, and, of, pew, report, More…the

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Replies to This Discussion

I agree the number of Muslim among those that are accounted for in Britain will double. What about those that are  already here illegally,and those that will come over the next 20 years, legal and illegal. 

I reckon you could probably double the Pew figure and still be erring on the side of caution.

 http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2015/01/daily-chart-2     

Muslim population of the UK could triple to 13m following 'record' influx 




The Muslim population of the UK is set to triple in 30 years, according to projections from the Pew Research Centre. 

Under the model which assumes median migration levels, the number of Muslims in the country would rise from 4.1m in 2016 to 13m in 2050. 

The US-based think tank says that the UK has been the major destination for economic migrants coming to Europe, while Germany has been the top destination for refugees. 

It said the research followed a "record influx of asylum seekers fleeing conflicts in Syria and other predominantly Muslim countries". 

The UK also has one of the largest gaps in fertility rates between Muslims and non-Muslims, with Muslim women having an average of 2.9 children compared to the 1.8 had by non-Muslims.

This means that even if migration were to stop completely, the group's population share would rise by more than 3 per cent in the UK, as well as in France, Italy, and Belgium.

The paper suggests that if migration continues at the same rate but refugee movement stops, the UK will have the highest overall population of Muslims in the EU, at 13m, making up 16.7 per cent of the population. 

Currently the country is behind Germany and France in overall population of Muslims. 

"Relatively few recent immigrants to the UK (60,000) were refugees, but more than 1.5 million regular migrants arrived there in recent years. 

"Overall, an estimated 43 per cent of all migrants to the UK between mid-2010 and mid-2016 were Muslims," the paper said. 



The study also shows that the UK has one of the lower levels of hostility toward refugees from Iraq and Syria. 

Just over one in three people see them as a major threat, compared to 39 per cent in France, 42 per cent in Spain and 60 per cent in Poland. 

It concluded that  people in countries with lower overall numbers of refugees were more likely to believe they were a threat. 

According to figures from the Oxford-based Migration Observatory, one in five non-UK born people in the UK is Muslim. 

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