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Permalink Reply by Joe on March 10, 2012 at 10:42

 

 

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/comment/city-eye-facts-o...

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City Eye: Facts on a plate: our population is at least 77 million

Martin Baker

Sunday, 28 October 2007

It is the statistic that dare not speak its name, though eventually it must. It has huge ramifications for the civil and political life of this country, the health of the equity markets and, most immediately, the residential property market. So don't forget you read it here first: the population of the UK is presently somewhere between 77 and 80 million.

 

The 2001 census, already hopelessly out of date and easy to avoid for those who find filling in forms a trifle inelegant, numbered us at a little under 59 million. But as statistics go, that one's most definitely a damned lie.

My sources for the above statement are good, but scared of admitting the truth for fear of incurring the wrath of Whitehall. It's like the best way of monitoring illegal drug consumption: forget the pious statements from ministers – the foolproof method is to sample our water and the effluent in it. That's easily the best way of monitoring what the nation has been consuming.

Consumption – that's the thing. Based on what we eat, one big supermarket chain reckons there are 80 million people living in the UK. The demand for food is a reliable indicator; as Sir Richard Branson says, you can have all the money in the world but you can only eat onelunch and one dinner.

The supermarket in question was privately lobbying the Competition Commission to let it grow its market share. The argu- ment, reasonably enough, was that the market was far bigger than the regulator realised, so expanding the network was fair.

I have a second, respectable, source. A major, non-commercial agricultural institution reckons there are 77 million of us in the UK. Again, its reckoning is based on what we eat.

That faint background noise you're hearing as you read this is the sound of everyone slithering off the record. Why? In political terms, standing behind these figures would be to toss a hand grenade into a vat of gasoline. People would be hounded out of a job for scaremongering.

The Office for National Statistics' figures, published last week, predict a population of 75 million by 2051. It's an honest estimate but horribly wide of the mark because number counting doesn't work effectively. If you want to know how many there are of us, ask a food firm.

If the true numbers were revealed, the Little Englanders and xenophobes would come out in force about the evils of immigration. But that's what made America great in the 19th century, and it's a driving force of our economy right now. It's also anti-inflationary.

David Buik, a money manager with broker BGC Partners, was talking of "one million Eastern Europeans unaccounted for in London" on television last week. I suspect he's right if somewhat conservative in his estimate. How many do you see working in the construction industry and waiting at tables?

And when I say "anti-inflationary", I mean they are getting rotten wages. Dignified by the term "cheap labour", the hidden hordes will do well for the services sector, among others. People are assets – to maintain and to be maintained – so we are wealthier as a nation.

All of which is reflected in strong economic demand and markets see-sawing between optimism over what we all see on the streets (that 77 million figure feels right to me) and the possibility of something nasty if the Bank of England credit-crunch prognosis is correct (to echo last week, I think next spring will be unpleasant).

As for housing, property magnates and chief executives of housing associations alike say the expanding population means serious demand for the foreseeable future, credit crunch or no. Next week, I'll look at the detail of this argument.

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We have probably 200 universities in Britain. At least half of them must have geography departments. Yet we see no attempt by these experts to get beyond the officially-wrong census figures, and the figures that supermarkets leak out in articles like this one. Once more it is evidence of how so-called "academics" simply talk-the-talk of scholarship, independence of thought, etc. Really they work within the confines of what is considered politically-acceptable to speak or research.

As I'm someone who can't wait for the evolutionary cancer that is the human race to make itself extinct, so that the planet can return to forests and meadows of flowers, I don't really care about ultimate population figures in the interim. What concerns me is what proportion of the British population is made up by muslims. Since they've shown in their enclaves that their loyalty is to muslims first and foremost, it is only when they reach a certain percentage of the population that Hizb ut Tahrir will break from cover, and start standing in elections. By that point it is going to be too late to stop Hizb ut Tahrir from eventually becoming the governnment.  If civil war hasn't broken out by then, it will.

The muslim population of Britain has increased by 100% each of the past 3 decades, completely out-stripping the population of other minority asian religions such as sikhs and hindus. At one point back in the 1960s and 1970s they were almost equivalent in their proportional spread in Britain.

One thing that I keep trying to draw people's attention to, is that there are two explanations for the dichotomy between the supposed proportion of muslim in Britain (<5%) and the proportion of convicts who are muslims (>13%). Either muslims are approx 3x more criminal than the average Briton, or there are 3x more muslims in Britain than the official statistics allow. I go with the latter analysis, because I don't see any reason to assume greater than average criminality on the part of muslims. If I am right then we are probably only 20 years away from Hizb ut Tahrir having the prospect of winning an election (on our existing system).  Ceteris paribus, the muslim population will be at 26% in 2022, and 52% in 2042.  A fairly large proportion of that muslim population in 2042 would be under the voting age, but probably 40% of all voters would be musims.  That would be enough for them to vote en masse for one party, and that party might even become the leading member of a coalition government (with Labour, of course).

Since our academics, politicians and even supermarkets are scared to discuss the statistics for the current demographics of Britain, we can be sure they are terrified of discussing what these statistics imply for the future.  Our media will barely even acknowledge the 26 year existence of Hizb ut Tahrir, nor what the policies of this islamic nazi party are.

I have absolutely no idea how one can wake people up to this looming nightmare.

Permalink Reply by Alan Lake on December 6, 2013 at 5:45

Here are the official immigration and demographic figures from 2006.

Attachments:

• Globalisation, Population Mobility and Migration.pdf, 739 KB